As Election Day nears, New Hampshire, a state often considered safe blue territory, appears primed to make history.
As reported by Trending Politics News, new polling suggests that former President Donald Trump is edging out Vice President Kamala Harris in this traditionally Democratic stronghold.
If these numbers hold, New Hampshire could swing Republican for the first time since George W. Bush’s win in 2000.
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In a recent survey conducted by Praecones Analytica and the New Hampshire Journal, Trump leads Harris by a razor-thin margin—50.2% to 49.8%.
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Praecones Analytica / @NewHampJournal poll:Trump 50.2% (+0.4)
Harris 49.8%622 RV, 10/24-26
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) October 28, 2024
I used to say New Hampshire was in play
I’m no longer saying that
New statement:
“Trump is going to win New Hampshire” https://t.co/nCNhOb4XuR
— DC_Draino (@DC_Draino) October 28, 2024
With a sample of 622 registered voters, this poll, conducted from October 24th to the 26th, captures a critical moment in the race, minus Trump’s highly anticipated Madison Square Garden rally.
If the former president secures this state, it will be an unprecedented Republican victory in New England and a testament to Trump’s expanding base of support.
According to polling data from FiveThirtyEight, Trump’s latest lead comes after months of narrow polling deficits in New Hampshire, where he trailed Harris and President Joe Biden.
However, Harris’ recent stumble on the debate stage has shifted the landscape, injecting new momentum into Trump’s campaign. With New Hampshire now in play, Republicans face a strategic decision: to either double down on traditional swing states or invest in this unexpected opportunity.
Beyond the presidential contest, New Hampshire’s down-ballot races reveal a similar trend. In the gubernatorial race, Republican Kelly Ayotte has a solid lead over Democrat Joyce Craig, with a margin of 52% to 48%.
Ayotte, a former U.S. Senator, lost her seat in 2016 after distancing herself from Trump, a move that proved politically costly. This election cycle, Ayotte has openly aligned herself with Trump, bringing his conservative message to New Hampshire’s voters and winning the Republican primary handily.
Despite strong Democratic support and betting markets giving Harris an 80% chance of winning the state, other polling firms signal tightening margins.
A recent Emerson College poll has Harris up by just 3%, reflecting growing enthusiasm for Trump’s message among New Hampshire’s conservative voters.
Trump spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt is optimistic, claiming New Hampshire residents won’t support “dangerously liberal Kamala Harris,” citing policies that, according to Leavitt, have led to higher energy costs and housing affordability challenges in the state.
As Election Day approaches, all eyes are on New Hampshire. A Republican win here would be a seismic shift, reshaping the electoral map and signaling a renewed GOP foothold in a region long dominated by Democrats.
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