Former President Donald Trump is making notable gains in key Democratic voting blocs, particularly among Hispanic, Black, and Jewish voters, according to recent polling data.

These inroads come as Kamala Harris struggles to maintain support from these crucial groups, traditionally strongholds for the Democratic Party.

Throughout his political career, Trump has sought to flip minority voters, especially Hispanic and Black communities, which have historically leaned Democratic.

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While his success with these groups in 2020 was modest, polling data ahead of the November 2024 election suggests that Trump may be gaining significant ground with these voters, as well as traditionally Democratic Jewish voters.

Hispanic Voters

For years, Republicans have touted the potential for winning over Hispanic voters but have often fallen short in national elections.

However, Trump’s efforts appear to be yielding better results this election cycle, especially in key battleground states like Arizona.

A recent NBC News/Telemundo poll found Harris leading among Latino voters with 54%, while Trump garnered 40%.

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This represents an eight-point improvement for Trump over his 2020 performance with Latino voters.

The margin of error for the poll was 3.1%, which means Trump’s support could range from 36.9% to 43.1%.

The results from the NBC poll align with findings from another survey conducted by Opiniones Latinas for TelevisaUnivision.

That poll showed Trump with 39% support among likely Hispanic voters in seven battleground states, compared to Harris’ 55%.

“We found that Donald Trump’s position among Hispanic voters has gone up compared to 2020 where he lost 65 to 32 among Hispanic voters nationally,” said John McLaughlin, pollster for Opiniones Latinas, on the “John Solomon Reports” podcast. “In the seven battleground states, he’s really close. He’s closed the gap of a net of 17 points, where he’s getting 39% of the vote.”

McLaughlin noted that Trump is making particularly significant strides in Arizona, where he has cut the margin with Latino voters by double digits.

In 2020, Trump lost the Hispanic vote in Arizona 61% to 37%, but now the margin is 53% to 42%, a substantial improvement for the former president.

Jewish Voters

Trump is also making gains with Jewish voters, even in traditionally Democratic-leaning states. This shift comes amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict and a surge in pro-Palestinian protests on college campuses, which have caused divisions within the Democratic Party.

Jewish voters have expressed concerns over the Biden-Harris administration’s handling of the conflict, while Muslim voters have shown dissatisfaction with the administration’s strong support for Israel.

At a recent event titled “Fighting Anti-Semitism in America,” Trump voiced his strong support for Israel and made a direct appeal to Jewish voters. “No longer will you be threatened on your college campuses. No longer will you be discriminated against in college admissions, and no longer will your own government import jihadists from places that we don’t even want to talk about, and they want you haters,” Trump said.

Polling data supports the notion that Trump’s message is resonating with Jewish voters. A Siena Research Institute survey from August showed Trump earning 50% support among Jewish voters in deep-blue New York, compared to Harris’ 49%.

This is a notable shift, as earlier polling had shown Biden leading Trump among Jewish voters by 6%.

Black Voters

The Trump campaign has also seen improvements among Black voters.

A recent Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation survey found Trump receiving 17% support among Black voters in the state, nearly tripling the 6% he earned in 2020.

Notably, Trump appears to be outperforming other Republicans, as Texas Senator Ted Cruz earned just 11% of the Black vote in his reelection bid.

Meanwhile, CNN data shows Harris holding 79% of the Black vote, while Trump carries 16%.

Though the Black vote has long been a solid bloc for Democrats, the gains Trump has made in this group could be significant if sustained through the election.

Trump’s message to minority voters has centered around economic concerns, with a particular focus on inflation and the perceived failures of the Biden-Harris administration to manage the economy.

In 2020, Trump attempted to win over Black voters by touting his record on criminal justice reform, but this cycle he has shifted his focus to broader economic issues that affect all Americans.

Conclusion

With just weeks to go before the 2024 election, Trump’s campaign is making significant inroads with key minority voting blocs that have traditionally been part of the Democratic coalition.

His appeals to Hispanic, Black, and Jewish voters appear to be gaining traction, thanks to a combination of economic messaging and the Biden-Harris administration’s handling of foreign and domestic issues.

While Harris still leads among these groups, Trump’s improved numbers represent a notable shift from previous elections.

If these trends continue, they could complicate the Democrats’ efforts to maintain the support of these key constituencies in the upcoming election.

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