WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW
- Bessent predicted Iran will complete its remaining oil deliveries to China within two weeks and then have nothing left to trade.
- He said about 15 million barrels remain out for delivery as the United States blockades ports.
- The administration says oil continues through the Strait of Hormuz at 15 million to 22 million barrels daily, but none comes from Iran.
- Bessent described Iran as isolated, a pariah state, and on its knees under Operation Economic Outcast.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent delivered a stark forecast for Tehran on Sunday, predicting that Iran will complete its remaining oil deliveries to China within two weeks.
Once those shipments are finished, he said, the regime will have nothing left to trade for the goods it needs, as reported by Red State.
Bessent said only about 15 million barrels of Iranian oil remain out for delivery as the United States blockades the ports.

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He also predicted that Iran will be broke within two weeks as the Trump administration increases its economic pressure on the regime.
The dwindling shipments, according to Bessent, show that Operation Economic Outcast has economically isolated Tehran.
China is described as a primary customer for Iranian oil, while the Iranian economy depends heavily on revenue from oil sales.
“They will have nothing to trade for anything, probably within the next two weeks. They are going to make their final deliveries of oil to China, and then they will have nothing,” Bessent said.
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Bessent made the remarks during an appearance on Fox News’ Sunday Morning Futures with Larry Kudlow.
His assessment was blunt: Iran has been cut off from much of the world and is rapidly approaching the end of its remaining oil trade.
“They are isolated from the world. They are a pariah state. And, my job is to make sure that when they come with a deal, that they want to stick to it. They did not stick to the (Memorandum of Understanding). And, next time, if there is a deal, that's at President Trump's discretion, that they will stick to it. Because they are on their knees.”
"They are isolated from the world... they are on their knees." Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explains how U.S. sanctions are putting Iran's economy under tremendous pressure amid the ongoing conflict. pic.twitter.com/2AAQVjjTxL
— FOX Business (@FoxBusiness) September 27, 2026
The Treasury secretary framed the economic campaign as a way to ensure Iran honors any future agreement it might reach. Whether another deal is offered would remain at President Trump’s discretion, Bessent said.
The United States has largely cut off Iranian oil sales and blocked Iran’s access to the international banking community.
American pressure has also successfully cut off part of Iran’s commercial air travel, and possibly most of it, according to the source.
Oil continues moving through the contested Strait of Hormuz and into the international market.
The Trump administration claims that between 15 million and 22 million barrels are passing through the waterway each day.
That volume is comparable to the roughly 20 million barrels per day that moved through the strait before the war. Bessent said a billion barrels have passed through the Strait of Hormuz since March.
None of the oil currently getting through, however, is coming from Iran, according to Bessent’s account.
That distinction is central to the administration’s pressure campaign because Tehran relies heavily on oil sales while other producers continue reaching international buyers.
Bessent’s prediction leaves Iran facing a rapidly narrowing window.
Its final deliveries to China may be completed within two weeks, after which the regime would have no oil left to exchange, according to the Treasury secretary.
The source argues that conditions in Tehran could grow increasingly spare over the next several weeks.
It also suggests that senior regime figures may have assets stored in places such as Switzerland or the Cayman Islands, although that possibility is presented as commentary rather than an established fact.
The departure of senior regime figures for Moscow, Pyongyang, or another destination would be a sign that the regime’s position is collapsing, according to the commentary.
Such an exodus could create an opportunity for the people of Iran to reclaim their country.
An editor’s note credited President Trump and his administration’s leadership with restoring American respect on the world stage and putting enemies on notice.
It described the administration’s approach as a peace-through-strength foreign policy.
For now, Bessent’s timetable is the key test.
If the remaining 15 million barrels are delivered as he expects, Iran’s oil trade with China will run dry within two weeks, leaving the regime isolated and, in his words, “on their knees.”
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