A recent analysis by the Crime Prevention Research Center (CPRC) suggests that violent crimes—including rape, robbery, and aggravated assault—have increased significantly during the Biden-Harris administration, despite official claims to the contrary.

The findings are based on Justice Department data and have sparked renewed debate over the administration’s handling of crime and public safety.

According to the CPRC, violent crime fell by 15 percent under former President Donald Trump between 2016 and 2020.

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However, their analysis indicates a sharp rise since 2020. “Despite their fraudulent statements that they made,” Trump said during Tuesday’s debate, “crime in this country is through the roof. And we have a new form of crime. It’s called migrant crime.”

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The CPRC’s report draws on data from the Bureau of Justice Statistics’ National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS), which tracks non-fatal violent crimes but does not measure murder rates.

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The report states: “The just-released data from the Bureau of Justice Statistics’s National Crime Victimization Survey shows violent crime has soared under Biden-Harris. If you look at rape, robbery, and aggravated assaults, between 2016 and 2020, violent crime fell by 15% under Trump and soared by 55% under Biden between 2020 and 2023.”

Breaking down the numbers, the CPRC found that under the current administration:

  • Rape increased by 42%
  • Robbery rose by 63%
  • Aggravated assault surged by 55%

The report also considers alternative starting points for the analysis. “Even if you take the starting period for Biden as 2019 or the five-year average before COVID because the numbers may have been artificially depressed during COVID, violent crime rose by 19%,” the CPRC notes. Using 2021 as the base year, the increases are similarly stark: “Violent crime is up 55%, rape up 42%, robbery up 53%, and aggravated assault up 67%.”

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These statistics have intensified discussions about the administration’s policies on crime and immigration.

The Trump campaign has highlighted instances of crimes allegedly committed by illegal immigrants to support their stance on stricter immigration enforcement.

While the Biden-Harris administration has emphasized initiatives aimed at community policing and gun control to address crime, critics argue that these measures have been insufficient.

They point to the CPRC’s analysis as evidence that more robust action is needed to combat the rise in violent offenses.

Public safety officials and policymakers are now grappling with the potential causes of the increase.

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Some attribute the rise to economic challenges, social unrest, and the aftereffects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Others suggest that policy decisions at the federal level have had a direct impact on crime rates.

The debate over how to interpret and respond to these statistics is likely to continue.

Law enforcement agencies, community leaders, and legislators are examining the data to develop strategies aimed at reducing violent crime and ensuring public safety.

As the nation approaches upcoming elections, crime and public safety are expected to remain key issues for voters.

The CPRC’s findings add a significant dimension to the ongoing discourse surrounding national security and the effectiveness of current policies.

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