Republican Senate Leader Mitch McConnell knows he has a tough November coming up.

FNC: “Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., thinks that Republicans have a lukewarm chance of flipping the Senate in November, citing “candidate quality” as a factor.

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The senator made the honest prediction at the Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce luncheon on Thursday afternoon.

While Republican J.D. Vance holds a 5-point lead over Democratic opponent Tim Ryan in Ohio, according to a new Emerson College poll, the race remains tight.

Meanwhile, in Pennsylvania, analysts are predicting that Lt. Gov. John Fetterman holds a stronger lead over Republican candidate Dr. Mehmet Oz. Cook Political Report says the Pennsylvania race has shifted from “toss-up” to “lean Democratic.”

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“I think there’s probably a greater likelihood the House flips than the Senate,” the GOP leader said. “Senate races are just different, they’re statewide. Candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome.

“Right now, we have a 50-50 Senate and a 50-50 country, but I think when all is said and done this fall, we’re likely to have an extremely close Senate. Either our side up slightly or their side up slightly,” McConnell opined.

But Republican Senator Chuck Grassley of Iowa is more optimistic. “We are going to take back the majority because of the fact that the president’s approval rating is under 40 [percent] and all these problems with the economy, people’s pocket books are being robbed every day because of Biden inflation.

“Many people’s pocketbooks are being robbed every day because of Biden’s inflation. And, I think that the motive that McConnell would have would be that he wants to wake people up to the fact that this is an important election coming up and that you better be on your toes, both as a candidate, and people are supporting Republicans, or maybe we wouldn’t want to win control of the United States Senate,” Grassley continued.

“But he needs to have people help by voting, help by getting votes out and help by contributing to the candidates, and most importantly, the candidates working just as hard as they can. If there’s any of these candidates in Ohio or Pennsylvania or Arizona that are working harder than anybody that’s on their campaign staff, they’re not working hard enough,” the Iowa senator told press.

“It won’t only be what I hear at the state fair, but what I’ve heard in my county meetings that I hold regularly. Inflation is number one. Some people call it cost of living, saying gas prices. And the fact is, the president is not enforcing law at the border. It just irritates people. You can’t come to America without our permission. And we’ve had 2 million people just willy-nilly cross the border,” Grassley media.

On the Mar-a-Lago raid? “Well, I think, historically, it’s a big issue because this is the first time a former president’s home has ever been invaded. Secondly, it’s important because it looks like there’s political bias, and the people, in the people that decided to do it. Because you have a whole opposite of what they did with Hillary Clinton, with her e-mails, and they were compromised, and she destroyed some property, and nothing was done, and they negotiated with her, but they didn’t invade her home. So what’s different now?” said Grassley.