There will be a political price to pay for moderate and freshman Democrats if they vote for impeachment and if President Donald Trump carried their districts in the 2016 general election.
House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) must know this, but nevertheless she plows on, held hostage, some believe, by her party’s far-Left wing.
By pushing the Trump impeachment, she could even be imperiling her own speakership.
But apparently personal animus toward the president and fear of her own Left “trump” political sense.
Here are the five House Dems who will most suffer for her blind obstinacy if they follow her down the impeachment path.
1.) Rep. Joe Cunningham (D-S.C.). The attorney won narrowly by one point in last year’s midterms on an anti-off shore drilling campaign. But Trump took the district by 13 points in 2016.
South Carolina is deep red and his chances do not look good anyway.
Tie an impeachment vote around his neck — and he’s a goner.
2.) Rep. Anthony Brindisi (D-N.Y.). Trump took New York’s 22nd Congressional District by 15 points in 2016 and Brindisi won by two in 2018.
This upstate district looks solid for Trump (this particular district extends from the east end of Lake Ontario through Central New York to the Pennsylvania border, including Utica, Rome and Binghamton).
And with the president on the 2020 ballot, if Brindisi votes for impeachment, he will get hurt — a lot.
3.) Rep. Kendra Horn (D-Okla.). Oklahoma is one of the most politically conservative states in America. President Trump won its 5th Congressional District there by 14 points in 2016. Horn, an attorney, won by one meager point in 2018.
She has so far out-fundraised her possible GOP opponents.
But the power of incumbency can be responsible for that. Odds are, with the president running this year, she is toast. Add a yes vote on impeachment — and the GOP can pick the curtains.
4.) Rep. Max Rose (D-N.Y.). Staten Island is a GOP island surrounded by a New York City sea of blue. Trump won in the Staten Island borough by 10 points in 2016. Rose won by 6 in 2018.
Though not that far apart in numbers, the current trend and the district’s history indicate a strong Trump showing in 2020.
If Rose, an Army combat veteran, bucks his district and favors the impeachment of the president, he can kiss that six-point spread goodbye — and he puts himself in serious peril.
5.) Rep. Xochitl Torres-Small (D-N.M.). Trump won this district by 10 percentage points in 2016 and Torres-Small, a water rights lawyer, won it by 2 in 2018.
As some of her support probably came from Democrat moderates who do not support impeachment, there isn’t a good range of options for her when it comes to an impeachment vote. Just as in many close Dem seats, if she votes yes, she loses some moderates.
A “no” vote — and her base deserts her. She can afford neither in that district.
Also of note: Rep. Collin Peterson (D-Minn.). Not a freshman, Collin Peterson is a conservative Democrat and the only Dem who could hold onto a district that went for Trump in a landslide in 2016 by 31 points.
Peterson won there by 4 in 2018. The man is no fool — and though he could pay a bit of a price for the hijinks of his party, he has wisely said early on that he will not vote for impeachment.
That sums up the potential political victims — and the one smart player — of Pelosi’s jihad against the president.
She may not care too much about the collateral damage her quest causes.
Then again, her San Francisco district is safe for her. That’s not the case for the Dems in the five seats above.