Donald Trump has surged from behind to take a lead in the critical battleground state of Florida, leads Clinton in blue-collar heavy Pennsylvania and pulled even in Ohio, according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University.

In the wake of FBI Director James Comey’s damning condemnation of her attitude and actions with her email scandal, Clinton’s negative perceptions are continuing to rise — just as Trump’s may have leveled out.

More ominously for Clinton, the survey registered higher unfavorable ratings for her than for Trump in all three states.

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With a 3-5 point deficit in the matchup with Clinton nationally, Donald Trump is still arguably running slightly ahead of John McCain in 2008, and only slightly behind Mitt Romney in 2012 the week before the Republican National Convention. What’s more, Trump is trending upwards.

For instance, Obama led McCain by an average of 6.5 percent in the six polls taken the week ahead of the 2008 RNC convention. Obama led Romney by an average of 1 point in the seven national surveys taken in the week preceding the 2012 convention.

A McClatchy-Marist poll national poll released on Wednesday showed Trump has cut Clinton’s national lead to just three points, 42 percent to 39 percent. According to that survey Trump has gained seven points on Clinton in two weeks from her high water mark 10-point lead in a Reuters/Ipsos poll released June 29.

“Nationally, the election is still within five points. This is an intriguing election,” said Terry Madonna, director of the Franklin & Marshall College Poll in Pennsylvania. “The polarization has really taken hold this election. There’s not a lot of room for maneuvering.”

While Trump remains slightly behind nationally, there are growing signs the mogul is in a competitive position in key swing states. Quinnipiac University released survey data Wednesday indicating that Trump is tied or leading in Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. Obama won all three states in 2008 and 2012. More ominously for Clinton, the survey registered higher unfavorable ratings for her than for Trump in all three states.

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Factoring in all recent polls, RealClearPolitics gives Trump a lead in Florida of .2 percentage points and Clinton leads of 1.4 points in Pennsylvania and 1.7 points in Ohio.

Romney, by contrast, led in only two of 17 polls taken in Ohio from March through July in 2012. He trailed in 14 of 21 Florida polls.

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Sam Wang, who analyzes polling at the Princeton Election Consortium, said Trump has a plausible path to winning an Electoral College victory while losing the popular vote. In an email to LifeZette, Wang cautioned that it is still early to make definitive predictions, adding that more undecided voters add to the volatility.

Madonna said he does not plan to conduct another poll in Pennsylvania until after both conventions this month. He said at that point, after the parties have made their cases and nominated their vice presidential candidates, polling will be more predictive. Even then, he added, the debates and unforeseen events could scramble what has been an unpredictable election season.

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For Trump to win, Madonna said he will have to bring around reluctant Republicans.

“Trump has been in the 70s with Republicans,” he said. “Hillary has latched to more Democrats.”

Another danger for Trump, Madonna said, is that some traditionally Republican-leaning states could be battleground contests this year. That includes North Carolina, where Clinton has a statistically insignificant lead, and Georgia, where Trump’s current lead is only 4.2 points.

Madonna said that despite historically high negative ratings for both candidates — for the first time in modern history, a majority of each candidate’s supporters say they are more motivated to vote against the other candidate than for their own — interest in the campaign is high.

“We’re seeing very large percentages who are interested, who are focused on it, who are paying attention to it,” he said. “We could see a larger turnout than in 2012.”

It adds another layer of unpredictability, Madonna said.

“There’s any number of possible outcomes here,” he said. “I don’t think anyone can be sure of what will happen.”