I’m outside in my hammock drinking a Sam Adams Summer Ale and listening to Jimmy Buffett on the radio. The sun on my skin and the sweat on my brow is screaming to me that November is a long way off. Somebody should inform the mainstream media, whose coverage of Donald Trump dropping a few points in some — but not all — polls is painting the picture of a candidate in an unrecoverable spin.

The consensus among the jabbering heads is that Trump has wrecked his chances of winning an election that’s five months away.

Take all these factors, stretch them like Silly Putty until they’re five months long, and Hillary Clinton’s inevitability starts to look an awful lot like it might snap.

So, it appears the next five months are going to look an awful lot like the last five months. Remember when everyone was sure Trump couldn’t win the Republican nomination? Remember when the Washington Post’s Dana Milbank wrote a piece called, “Trump will lose, or I will eat this column,” back in October? He’s since eaten that column — literally. Last month, he had it pureed by a professional chef and mixed into eight fancy courses of food, paired it with a Trump Winery Sauvignon blanc, and chased it with a shot of Pepto Bismol.

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What seems to be missing from the sky-falls-on-Trump narrative is any serious discussion of Clinton’s liabilities. The presumptive Democratic nominee is standing on a stack of rugs, any one of which could be yanked out from under her at any moment.

1. Will Hillary be the nominee? (They promised us broken glass!)
Even at this late date, that’s for the superdelegates to decide. Right now they say yes, but the Democratic convention is over a month away. If she had won 2,383 pledged delegates during the primaries, she’d have no worries, but that was a feat too tall. That means the majority she’s built is made of unpledged bricks that could crumble at a moment’s notice. Which is why she still hasn’t managed to pluck the socialist thorn out of her side.

Bernie Sanders confirmed in a live stream that he is taking his “revolution” all the way to the convention. That’s right, Hillary’s history-making-machine of a campaign is oiled up and chugging along right now — but it’s totally, 100 percent dependent on the will of the superdelegates.

2. Will the Justice Department wipe away the specter of an indictment? (You know, like with a cloth.)
Clinton likes to scoff at this question. She told Fox News host Bret Baier there was absolutely zero chance of that happening. Of course, she also said that what we now know is a criminal investigation was a “security review,” so I think it’s safe to be skeptical and assume she and her surrogates are downplaying the situation.

In the end, whether Clinton’s email woes destroy her campaign won’t hinge on politics but on whether she broke the law. Justice system politics may save her from criminal court, but if she has broken laws, FBI leaks will destroy her campaign in the court of public opinion.

3. Will the general electorate go all in for a neocon? (It might win her the Karl Rove and Bill Kristol voting bloc.)
Neoconservative foreign policy is nothing more than a relic of the early 21st century. Witness the fall of its poster boy John McCain. In 2007, he was popular enough to win the Republican presidential nomination. Then he lost in the quasi-landslide of 2008. In 2010, he won his Senate seat by 25 percentage points — nearly half a million votes. Today, he is in serious jeopardy of finally losing the seat he’s held since 1986, the year of the Hands Across America, “Walk Like an Egyptian,” and Iran-Contra.

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In the #FeeltheBern, Love Yourself, Clinton email-server year of 2016, socialism is more popular in America than neoconservatism. Unlike Trump, Hillary has a lot of neoconservative foreign policy decisions to explain away: She voted for the war in Iraq and she was a key figure in ousting Muammar Gadaffi which destabilized Libya — making it ripe for ISIS’ territorial expansion. In fact, suicide car bombs are now a regular occurrence in Sirte.

Clinton’s interventionist tendencies might appeal to former Bush administration officials, but they won’t impress many independents, Sanders supporters, or blue-collar Democrats.

4. Hillary blows leads in national campaigns. (This would be so much easier if there were no voters to deal with!)
Let’s take a trip down memory lane via the Realclearpolitics national polling averages:

Jan. 3, 2008 — Hillary had a 20 point lead on Barack Obama. Feb. 13 they were tied. By June 6, Obama had a 12-point lead. That’s a 32-point differential.

A year ago, she had a 48-point lead on 74-year-old, honeymooned-in-Soviet-Russia, socialist Sanders. Before she was named the presumptive nominee, that grand canyon-sized separation fell to 1 point.

Not to mention Julian Assange is promising to publish her emails on WikiLeaks, “Crisis of Character” is about to be released and paint the media narrative with a toxic portraiture of the Clintons, and the Bernie Brigade is carrying its anti-Clinton anger all the way to the convention. Take all these factors, stretch them like Silly Putty until they’re five months long, and Hillary’s inevitability starts to look an awful lot like it might snap.

Eddie Zipperer is an assistant professor of political science at Georgia Military College.