Tom Del Beccaro is the chairman of the RescueCalifornia.org political action committee that is supporting the recall of California Governor Gavin Newsom. He’s also the former chairman of the California Republican Party. He’s got an interesting take on Joe Biden’s chances for political recovery.
'Joe Biden deserves to be impeached'
Men – 57%
Women – 62%
18-39 – 54%
40-64 – 63%
65+ – 61%
White – 60%
Black – 56%
Oth Non-White – 61%
Dem – 40%
Unaff – 58%
GOP – 83%
All Voters – 60% https://t.co/FpWGpdi8h8
— Rasmussen Reports (@Rasmussen_Poll) September 1, 2021
Del Beccaro: The bubble has burst on Joe Biden’s popularity numbers. His approval numbers are now in the mid 40s. While a president’s popularity can rise and fall, don’t expect Biden’s numbers to recover very much.
First, it is important to note that whether a president is popular matters very much to his party. Historically, the “most important predictor of a party’s performance in a midterm is the president’s job approval rating.” If a president’s approval rating falls much below 50%, it spells significant trouble in ensuing elections for his party.
Right now, Biden’s approval rating has tumbled to somewhere between 44% and 46% with Rasmussen polling indicating a disapproval rating of 54%. Will Biden rise above 50% again? While it’s possible, here are reasons why it is very unlikely.
1. Biden Isn’t a Leader. Presidents can rise above policy problems and scandals. Both President Reagan and President Clinton faced scandals and economic problems. Both of them endured low polling numbers.
Both were reelected and both wound up popular at the end of their terms. The reason that was so was they both were dynamic politicians in their own way. They were both personally liked if not loved. They were charismatic and inspired many voters. Joe Biden, because of his age and evident physical and mental problems, is not capable of inspiring voters any more. It is quite a sad statement but true.
2. Biden’s Party is Moving Further Left. Even though the problems above are mounting, Biden’s D.C. Democrats are not moderating their behavior and continue to move Left. They want more spending and bigger government. While that may please some in their base, that troubles Independents and it is not a recipe for bridging the partisan divide. In other words, it won’t help Biden’s popularity in this divided era.
3. Many Policy Problems Will Continue to Drag Biden Down. Biden’s approval rating bubble burst with the disastrous Afghanistan withdrawal. That will continue while other problems continue to eat away at his popularity. The Afghanistan problem will not simply go away. In today’s technological age, pictures from Afghanistan, including Taliban atrocities, will continue to remind voters of how bad Biden’s exit was.
The economy will also not be kind to our president. Inflation is already on the rise and won’t be tamed anytime soon. Biden and the congressional Democrats continue to pursue spending policies that are inflationary by nature. Further, Biden and the Democrats’ war on energy will produce higher energy prices. Meanwhile, renewed COVID restrictions and threatened tax increases will weaken the economy as well. Finally, the border problem is growing in intensity not resolving.
Those unpopular results will continue to limit Biden’s popularity…Overall, Biden is beset with problems – many of which are of his own making, some of which are due to his weaknesses. None of them, however, are likely to go away and all will keep Biden unpopular.