Karl Rove is establishment. Okay fine. Somebody has to be. I would be too. But nobody has offered me enough money to sell out.

He’s not a fan of Trump. Understandable. Rove looks at wins and losses. Trump lost the presidential election then tanked the party and the Senate in Georgia. That doesn’t sit well with the best field general and one of the best analysts the Republicans have to offer. And consequently, Rove doesn’t sit well with the base. Oh well, I doubt it keeps him up at night.

But it doesn’t negate his political analysis. It’s good and prescient, but it perhaps misses the severity of the pushback the Democrats will encounter nationally next year. I think, it will be striking. Republican Pollyannas may finally get their tsunami.

Rove: “After six months in office, President Biden can claim some successes. He signed a $1.9 trillion COVID relief bill passed on a straight-party vote, began reassuring allies that America values them, and restored normality and decency to the presidency. But he faces an expanding list of challenges, and there are reasons to feel anxious about his ability to handle them.

A major problem for the president is the massive mismatch between the Democrats’ narrow margins in Congress—a handful of seats in the House and a 50-50 Senate—and his outsize policy expectations, many of which require large margins in the Senate to win approval. Mr. Biden pretends he has a mandate for transformational changes he didn’t really campaign on.

The mismatch is showing itself in the slow pace of congressional action. One example is the Democrats’ inability to move forward their unprecedented federal takeover of local elections. Time is becoming a critical problem for this and other initiatives, since Congress is scheduled to recess for August. Even if it doesn’t, the administration’s growing pileup of legislation won’t be easy to complete.

Consider the must-dos. There must be a budget resolution, which is difficult to get done. Though only a simple majority in each chamber is required, a resolution still needs to set allocations for the major parts of the budget. The debt ceiling must also be raised as early as August and, of course, a budget approved. And while it was easy for Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen to agree to a global corporate tax rate, its passage through Congress is hardly assured.

Mr. Biden’s American Jobs Plan suffers from Bernie Sanders-style ambitions paired with the Democrats’ weak hold on Congress. The magnitude of the Biden tax increases are very unpopular in the suburbs, and the jump in capital-gains tax rates and taxes on inherited assets are detested in farm and ranch country. Moreover, the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget says the White House’s $3.5 trillion price tag is misleading. Kill the budget gimmicks and its true cost is $5 to $5.5 trillion. Voter resistance to these astronomical levels of spending is likely to grow.”