Republicans Gaining in Mail-in Ballots

But the road is still a tough one.

With the election a week away, Democrats continue to dominate the mail-in balloting, but Republicans are narrowing the gap and making it a horse race. GOP voters are showing up to vote early and in-person, a sign that many heeded President Donald Trump’s accurate warnings about mail-voting fraud. There are also lots of new voters. The question is: For who?

FNC: “On Oct. 15, Democrats registrants cast 51% of all ballots reported, compared with 25% from Republicans. On Sunday, Democrats had a slightly smaller lead, 51% to 31%. The early vote totals, reported by state and local election officials and tracked by the AP, are an imperfect indicator of which party may be leading. The data only shows party registration, not which candidate voters support. Most GOP voters are expected to vote on Election Day.”

“This is a glass half-full, glass half-empty situation,” said John Couvillon, a Republican pollster who tracks early voting. “They’re showing up more,” he added, but “Republicans need to rapidly narrow that gap.”

MORE NEWS: Still too close to call

In Florida, Democrats have outvoted Republicans by a 596,000 mail-in margin, while Republicans only have a 230,000 edge in person. That is not good in a key battleground state.

Do you agree that protesting is acceptable, but rioting is not?


MORE NEWS: Poll Watchers Denied In Philly

In Nevada, where Democrats usually dominate in-person early voting, the GOP has a 42,600 voter edge in-person while Democrats have an 97,500 advantage in mail ballots. Again, not good for the GOP in a swing state.

“At some point, Republicans have to vote,” said Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientist, “You can’t force everyone through a vote center on Election Day. Are you going to expect all those Republicans to stand in line for eight hours?” Yes, because they’ve done it regularly before.

Tom Bonier, a Democratic data analyst, warned that he does not expect a one-sided election. “There are signs of Republicans being engaged,” he said. “We do expect them to come out in very high numbers on Election Day.”

Those Republicans have helped contribute to large turnouts in red states such as Georgia, where 26.3% of the people who’ve voted are new or infrequent voters, and Texas, where 30.5% are new or infrequent voters. They seem to be the Republican silent majority coming to life.

This piece was written by David Kamioner on October 28, 2020. It originally appeared in DrewBerquist.com and is used by permission.

Read more at DrewBerquist.com:
WATCH: Biden Believes He’s Running Against George Bush
WATCH: Veteran Carrying Flag Gets Beat By BLM Protesters
Beverly Hills Overrun By MAGA Rally

The opinions expressed by contributors and/or content partners are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views of LifeZette.

meet the author

Drew Berquist is a former counterterrorism officer, national security commentator, author, realist and host of This Is My Show with Drew Berquist.

Join the Discussion

COMMENTS POLICY: We have no tolerance for messages of violence, racism, vulgarity, obscenity or other such discourteous behavior. Thank you for contributing to a respectful and useful online dialogue.