The idea is ridiculous —knowing the president and his thrill of the fight— but the media, and GOP operatives not employed by the president, are trying to affect the morale of the campaign and Trump supporters. It’s not working.
“It’s too early, but if the polls continue to worsen, you can see a scenario where he drops out,” one GOP operative who asked to remain anonymous told the press. Utter bosh. “I’ve heard the talk but I doubt it’s true,” another said. “My bet is, he drops if he believes there’s no way to win.”
BREAKING— (thread)GOP operatives are for the first time raising the possibility that @realDonaldTrump could drop out of the race if his poll numbers don’t rebound. Over the weekend I spoke to a sample of major players; one described Trumps current psyche as “fragile.” I’m
— Charles Gasparino (@CGasparino) June 28, 2020
A recent Fox News poll has the president behind Democrat Joe Biden by 12 points, while a RealClearPolitics average of polls had Trump down almost 10 points to the former vice president. Biden also was leading Trump in key battleground states. But these surveys are discounted by seasoned analysts who can see the manipulation and manufactured anti-Trump momentum behind them.
These operatives want the public to forget that in 2016, Trump trailed Hillary Clinton leading up to the election before pulling off his upset win. “This is the granddaddy of fake news,” Trump campaign spokesman Tim Murtaugh told Fox News. “Everyone knows that media polling has always been wrong about President Trump – they under-sample Republicans and don’t screen for likely voters – in order to set false narratives. It won’t work. There was similar fretting in 2016 and if it had been accurate, Hillary Clinton would be in the White House right now… As was the case in 2016, the mainstream news media is relying on polling financed by their own operations and others, released publicly in order to set a narrative that conforms with their own worldviews. The president’s campaign has repeatedly called into question the validity of such polling, based on methodology, party representation in the sample, wording of questions, and other factors. These are legitimate criticisms, as there are real differences between public polling and proprietary internal polling such as the campaign conducts for itself.”
“Joe Biden is the weakest Democrat candidate in a generation and we are defining him that way,” Murtaugh expounded. “By contrast, President Trump built the best economy in the world before the global pandemic interrupted it and he’s doing it a second time. Joe Biden would be a disaster economically and would raise taxes and impose crushing Green New Deal regulations on job creators. We are four months from Election Day, and in the end, it will be a clear choice between President Trump’s incredible record of achievement and Joe Biden’s half-century of failure in Washington, D.C.”
Another analyst noted “for Trump to turn this around, he just needs to successfully prosecute Joe Biden’s four-and-a-half decades in elected office. If this election’s a choice between Joe Biden and Donald Trump, there’s a long way to go until November. If it’s a referendum on Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s looking like he’s in a pretty good spot.”
A prominent donor commented, “On the money side, I haven’t seen any drop-off. If the election were held today, I think it would certainly be a lot closer than what the public polls say right now. We have a long way to go. I’m not overly concerned at this point where things are.” Thus despite Democrat messages, the president likely remains in good political shape.