Senator Tim Scott predicts black vote will go up 50% for Trump

That might mean a GOP House takeover.

Image Credit: Wikimedia Commons

Popular GOP Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina had some good news for Donald Trump on Thursday per the president’s chances with black voters in the November presidential election.

“It will go from 8 percent in 2016 to a minimum of 12 percent in 2020,” Scott said to Fox News’ Neil Cavuto. “Trump might get backing from as much as 15% of black voters. And that is ‘Game over,’ ” Scott said.

He’s got a very good point. He went with it.

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“Think about a top-tier Democratic candidate that talks about harassing African-American males through stop-and-frisk,” Scott said, referring to Mike Bloomberg. “Compare that against President Trump’s criminal justice reform packages that are making the justice system more fair for African-Americans disproportionally than it has been in a long time.”

Scott does not mean the president will get half the black vote. He means it will go from 8% to possibly 12%, a 50% jump. But Scott is playing it safe. Recent poll numbers have put the president in the high 20 and low 30 percentiles with black voters. This is attributed to no black candidates left in the Democrat race, great black employment numbers, black social conservatism, and the president’s work on justice reform.

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Can you imagine the television and online spot on Trump justice reform? Gawd, to write and direct that baby…

Open up with ominous music and grainy black and white footage of NYC cops putting young black men in cuffs (check the files for shots of the police jacking them up or throwing them up against walls)… Female African-American voice-over gravely intones, “New York City, under Democrat Michael Bloomberg”…switch to color, cheery music (be careful on the music transition. It must be smooth) and feature video of black families welcoming home inmates released under the Trump reforms. Make sure to get the moms and grandmoms crying…voice-over: “America, led by President Trump. Why would we want to go back to how it was?”

Okay, so NYC’s best in blue could get miffed at that one. But they get the game and we’re not going to take NY anyway.

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If Trump does achieve that 12%, or more, it will be felt from the presidential race on down the ticket. It could swing several close Senate races and potentially a dozen close House races. It’s perhaps the margin for a House majority.

And the funny thing? It didn’t take pandering or reverse racism, the Democrat tactics. It is just good results that brought the president to this level of support with black Americans.

Well done, sir.

David Kamioner
meet the author

David Kamioner is a veteran of U.S. Army Intelligence and an honors graduate of the University of Maryland's European Division. He also served with the Pershing Nuclear Brigade and the First Infantry Division. Subsequent to that he worked for two decades as a political consultant, was part of the American Red Cross Hurricane Katrina disaster relief effort in Louisiana, ran a homeless shelter for veterans in Philadelphia, and taught as a college instructor. He serves as a Contributing Editor for LifeZette.

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