Midterms 2018

Survey Says Republicans Are Madder and More Likely to Vote Than Dems

Rasmussen poll may mean the 2018 midterm election will be a real downer of a day for those counting on a blue wave

Republican voters are madder about the treatment of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh during his Senate confirmation process and are more likely to vote in November than Democrats, according to a new national survey.

“Sixty-two percent of Republicans are more likely to vote because of the Kavanaugh controversy, compared to 54 percent of Democrats and 46 percent of voters not affiliated with either major political party,” Rasmussen Reports said in making its results public Wednesday. (The party affiliation of the generic angry guy pictured above is unknown.)

Rasmussen also said Wednesday that voters are now evenly split between Democrats and Republicans on the generic ballot for the November 6 voting, with each party drawing 45 percent support.

Democrats have led the generic ballot, which measures which party’s candidates a voter plans to support, all of 2018, often by double digits.

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The results suggest the electorate paid close attention to the Kavanaugh confirmation and didn’t like what they saw, especially after three women claimed late in the 11th hour of his confirmation process that he sexually assaulted them during high school and college freshman drinking parties. None of the witnesses the women said would corroborate their claims did so, and Kavanaugh passionately denied the allegations.

“Sixty-two percent of all voters are “angry” about the U.S. Senate’s treatment of Kavanaugh, with 42 percent who are “very angry.” Fifty-six percent are angry about how the Senate treated Christine Blasey Ford, the woman who accused Kavanaugh of sexual assault, including 35 percent who are very angry, Rasmussen said.

“Seventy-two percent of voters who are very angry about the treatment of Kavanaugh are more likely to vote in the upcoming elections.”

The survey of 1,000 likely voters interviewed October 7-8 has a 3 percent, plus or minus, margin of error. Surveys of likely voters are routinely more accurate barometers of Election Day outcomes than those of registered voters.

The survey produced almost no good news for Democrats, who earlier this year expected to benefit from historical trends that show the party of first-term presidents almost always lose congressional seats in the first midterm election after their inauguration.

“Seventy-two percent of voters who are very angry about the treatment of Kavanaugh are more likely to vote in the upcoming elections. Among voters who are very angry about the treatment of Ford, 70 percent say they are more likely to vote,” the survey said.

“Just over half of both men and women say they are more likely to vote this fall because of the Kavanaugh controversy,” it also found. “Interestingly, 40 percent of women are very angry about the treatment of both Kavanaugh and Ford. Men are much angrier about the treatment of Trump’s nominee.”

“The older the voter, the angrier they are about the treatment of both Kavanaugh and Ford, but those 40 and over are madder about how Kavanaugh was treated.”