New Poll: 2016 Race More Narrow Than Reported
Post-DNC survey shows Trump and Clinton neck and neck — GOP unified
After the smoke cleared from both political parties’ national conventions, the campaign has settled back into a tight horse race, according to the latest weekly presidential tracking poll from The Economist/YouGov.
The survey, taken entirely after the Democratic Convention, shows Trump a mere 3 points behind his Democratic presidential rival — despite widespread media reports of Clinton widening the lead she opened with a post-convention bump. In the head to head matchup, 43 percent of registered voters prefer Trump to be president, 46 percent prefer Hillary Clinton, and 9 percent are undecided.
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Even more promising for Trump, the survey showed the GOP nominee received a 2 point bump after his party’s convention, up from 41 percent to 43 percent, while Clinton was actually bumped down a point, from 47 percent in the most recent poll prior to the DNC to 46 percent Wednesday.
Despite the latest round of media predictions of Trump’s imminent doom, the widely cited RealClearPolitics average of all national polling continues to also suggest a close contest.
Clinton has a 4.5 percent lead over Trump in the head-to-head RCP average and a 4.4 percent lead when Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are included.
The YouGov poll also shows the vast majority of Republicans and conservatives have rallied behind Donald Trump as the first phase of the general election kicks off.
Trump earned the support of 88 percent of Republicans and 74 percent of conservatives overall.