Trump’s Minority Share
His blunt, tough talk could attract more black and Latino support than polls show
If one were to believe the narrative being pushed by the liberal media and Establishment Republicans horrified by Donald Trump’s brand of populist nationalism, selecting Trump as the GOP candidate will lead to a decisive and unprecedented electoral rout for the GOP among minority voters.
Unfortunately for the anti-Trump naysayers, there’s ample evidence that suggests the GOP doomsday scenario predicted to occur among every demographic other than white men will simply not occur.
“I know what real racism is. And Donald Trump is so far from it.”
And while Trump certainly has some work to do in order to win over certain segments of the minority vote, polls suggest he is poised to do better with others than any Republican in recent memory.
A SurveyUSA poll released in September 2015 found that 25 percent of black respondents would vote for Trump over Clinton. A December 2015 poll conducted by Clout Research found that 40 percent of blacks said they will vote for Trump.
Mitt Romney, on the other hand — who according to the self-proclaimed experts in the mainstream media was a kinder, gentler, more palatable Republican — received the support of a whopping zero percent of black voters in an August 2012 NBC/The Wall Street Journal poll.
In the end, Romney took only 6 percent of the black vote in the 2012 election. While this was a respectable 50 percent increase on the measly 4 percent of the black vote McCain received in 2008, neither were numbers with which the GOP could bank on electoral success among African-Americans. In Trump, however, the GOP may actually have a fighting chance.
“In reference to dealing with black issues and dealing with issues that plague those minority communities, Donald Trump doesn’t have a racist bone in his body,” said Pastor Mark Burns, one of a handful of prominent black preachers who are vocally supporting Trump. “I know what real racism is. And Donald Trump is so far from it. Talking to him and his wonderful wife and his children is like hanging out with some friends of mine that are black.”
Two of Trump’s most popular and prominent online supporters are black — Lynnette Hardaway and Rochelle Richardson, better known as Diamond and Silk. The pair’s pro-Trump YouTube videos went viral almost as soon as they were posted, and the duo has been a feature of at least two of Trump’s campaign rallies.
[lz_table title=”Trump’s Favorability with Black and Hispanic Voters” source=”Daily Caller,WND,CNN”]SurveyUSA Poll 09/15
|Clout Poll 12/15
|Gravis Poll 5/16
Controversial rapper Azealia Banks, known for her vulgar, expletive-laden Twitter outbursts, has also endorsed Trump. “He’s not a symbol of hatred,” she tweeted. “The Liberal Media have programmed us to feel a way about words.”
Admittedly, the existence of four prominent black Trump supporters by no means guarantees or even suggests that Trump will win the black vote. But it’s four more prominent black supporters than Mitt Romney ever had — and the diversity of the black community represented in a preacher, a pair of middle-class women from North Carolina, and a rapper from the streets of Harlem suggests Trump might have the potential to reach black voters in a way the GOP hasn’t seen in a generation.
Trump’s comments about illegal Mexican immigrants are frequently cited as proof that he will lose the Hispanic vote — and lose it badly — with many predicting the GOP’s worst-ever electoral performance within that demographic. Indeed, nearly 80 percent of Hispanics view Trump negatively, according to a recent Gallup poll.
But other polls paint a different story. The December 2015 Clout poll found that 45 percent of Hispanics supported Trump. Moreover, a Gravis Marketing poll released only on Friday found that Trump leads Clinton 55 percent to 45 percent among Hispanic voters.
Even if one looks to a November 2015 Economist/YouGov poll that found only 21 percent of Hispanic voters supported him, Trump doesn’t appear to be significantly more handicapped among Hispanics than previous GOP candidates.
George W. Bush may have received 35 percent of the Hispanic vote and 44 percent in 2000 and 2004, respectively, but his impressive numbers with Hispanic voters — often cited by anti-Trump talking heads — seem to be an aberration for the GOP. McCain received 31 percent of the Hispanic vote, while Romney only received 27 percent. In 1996, GOP candidate Bob Dole received 21 percent of the Hispanic vote, and the elder Bush received 25 percent of the Hispanic vote in 1992.
[lz_table title=”GOP Presidential Candidates’ Share of Black and Hispanic Vote, 1992-2008″ source=”Roper Center”]Bush ‘92
Furthermore, given the somewhat-successful mainstream media propaganda campaign to paint Trump as an anti-Hispanic racist, it’s possible that support for Trump among Hispanic voters is in fact higher than polls suggest.
“If you are Hispanic and you support Trump, a lot of the Hispanics, in this weird way they are very upset at you,” 25-year-old Trump supporter Alise Mendoza told the New York Daily News. “They call you names, they look down at you, they call you trash. I almost feel like I can’t even speak,” she added.
For those Hispanic voters who are able to see past the anti-Trump hysteria, however, Trump’s message is appealing. “When I first heard about how Trump announced his campaign I thought, ‘Wow, that’s extremely racist what he’s saying,'” noted Diego Milla, a Trump supporter from Miami.
“And then I heard one of his speeches, one of those rallies that he does. After I heard him speak, I thought, ‘Wow, this guy is amazing.’ So I went and I re-watched his whole announcement. I heard the whole speech in full context. I realized that he’s not referring to all Mexicans. He’s talking about a reality that is taking place on the border,” Milla said.